TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Team Resilience, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d4d…8525backed Vici Gaming72c11,577$8,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Resilience25c7,097$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.5543344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming60c5,801$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.9465863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Team Resilience29c4,733$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39012557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming54c3,933$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.821,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Resilience40c3,415$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3666569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Resilience42c3,087$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.331,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming60c3,083$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.3996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Vici Gaming63c2,734$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.4411647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Team Resilience43c2,117$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90018356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Resilience40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed Team Resilience44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.991450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming63c1,798$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.1553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Vici Gaming80c1,750$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0820452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Vici Gaming53c1,209$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2155251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf93…0d84backed Team Resilience43c1,160$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.457553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Team Resilience36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience39c980.26$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5188539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience31c777.47$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience49c655$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.51,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Team Resilience10c600$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Team Resilience36c559.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Team Resilience6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308918%16 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Team Resilience32c488$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0711131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience25c445.8$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.461,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Resilience19c437.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1645951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Resilience42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16846240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Resilience7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Resilience43c396.53$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.143049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Vici Gaming57c351.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.858946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Vici Gaming72c338$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8955457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Team Resilience7c336.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5821333.3%71 W · 142 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience28c330.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Team Resilience26c256.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3420939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Vici Gaming73c249.98$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.499044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Resilience43c242.15$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.131,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Resilience5c241$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.065837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Resilience30c221.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Vici Gaming78c218.17$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4855561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming66c215.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.262,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Resilience28c211.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5972035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Resilience48c206.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Resilience50c199.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Resilience45c198.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5453139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming69c179.58$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6567043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Team Resilience17c177.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a6…cf4bbacked Vici Gaming65c177.66$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Vici Gaming57c176.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9521144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Resilience42c149$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf52e…54fcbacked Team Resilience31c141.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.652540%10 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience17c140.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5156343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Vici Gaming63c139.19$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1913764.2%88 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience45c132.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.62,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Vici Gaming67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8427357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience42c119.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1720…747fbacked Team Resilience42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509751.5%50 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Resilience20c118.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6520145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Resilience32c105$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3540644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Vici Gaming66c102.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Team Resilience31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.730643.5%133 W · 173 L-22.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2073743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Vici Gaming65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Resilience18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience51c97.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.661,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Team Resilience34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed Team Resilience20c70.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Vici Gaming58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.458250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Vici Gaming70c67.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.515536.1%56 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Vici Gaming59c63.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.041,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac17…eccabacked Team Resilience19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117446%80 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Vici Gaming67c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4822552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x45a7…bc63backed Team Resilience38c53.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Vici Gaming57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Resilience26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7225253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Vici Gaming69c43.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.445366%35 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Resilience42c43.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Resilience31c41.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1324518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xef87…e248backed Team Resilience51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Team Resilience34c38.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313246.2%61 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Vici Gaming61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7953757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Resilience35c31.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9891553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Resilience35c31.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Vici Gaming65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7737456.4%211 W · 163 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Vici Gaming80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7f…e4a4backed Team Resilience40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vici Gaming69c24.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6491356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Resilience47c24.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6712263.9%78 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming74c23.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.171,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Resilience43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming48c21.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9544645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4471…3f7bbacked Vici Gaming63c20.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.481838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.