Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2a994d15604026d570a6967f5aa50194481b4ced3e1452501191ca0b340b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 4,298$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.97 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 4,288$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.53 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Resilience | 40c | 2,704$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.91 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 2,501$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Resilience | 45c | 2,450$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.26 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Resilience | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.29 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,661$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.91 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 72c | 1,542$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Team Resilience | 39c | 1,323$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.52 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 1,240$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.37 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Resilience | 57c | 1,229$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.55 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Resilience | 39c | 1,120$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.74 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Team Resilience | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.7 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 799.98$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.89 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 794.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 790$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.19 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Team Resilience | 46c | 778.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.62 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Team Resilience | 39c | 766.46$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Resilience | 49c | 759.82$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.41 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Team Resilience | 53c | 681.73$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience | 52c | 670.41$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 51c | 621.01$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.19 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 596.26$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.13 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 557.26$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.77 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 47c | 530.45$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 517.44$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 506.45$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 43c | 493.71$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Resilience | 68c | 443.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Vici Gaming | 19c | 426.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 421.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Resilience | 78c | 405.12$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Resilience | 47c | 390.51$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 364.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 348.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 334.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Resilience | 67c | 300.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Resilience | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 273.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Team Resilience | 40c | 260.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 201.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 159.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Resilience | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Team Resilience | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 134$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 56c | 132.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 129.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 129$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 117.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Team Resilience | 50c | 117.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 40c | 117.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Resilience | 60c | 106.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 106.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Team Resilience | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Resilience | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Resilience | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Resilience | 79c | 90.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 87.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 48c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 79.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 68.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Resilience | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Resilience | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Team Resilience | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Vici Gaming | 19c | 51.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e248backed Team Resilience | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 36.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Resilience | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Team Resilience | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…bc63backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 28.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Team Resilience | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Team Resilience | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Team Resilience | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team Resilience | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 26.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Resilience | 53c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a348backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…15e0backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 3 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 4 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.