Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdefee9d8b7ea6197756db652f43aa4b87360a61964985814d297d96576fbb150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team WE | 10c | 14,988$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.78 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team WE | 9c | 9,891$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.44 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE | 12c | 8,593$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.37 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Team WE | 9c | 6,202$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.36 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team WE | 7c | 4,577$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.27 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team WE | 8c | 3,487$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team WE | 9c | 3,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…a713backed Team WE | 6c | 2,504$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Team WE | 2c | 2,499$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team WE | 10c | 2,465$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team WE | 10c | 2,247$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.68 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team WE | 11c | 2,233$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 402 | 32.8%132 W · 270 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team WE | 11c | 1,905$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.57 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Team WE | 11c | 1,800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Team WE | 8c | 1,744$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team WE | 11c | 1,724$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.09 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team WE | 12c | 1,721$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team WE | 12c | 1,654$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Team WE | 9c | 1,551$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team WE | 9c | 1,475$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team WE | 8c | 1,455$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team WE | 10c | 1,368$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Team WE | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team WE | 7c | 1,297$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team WE | 7c | 1,136$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed Team WE | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Team WE | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team WE | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team WE | 12c | 947.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team WE | 9c | 943.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team WE | 6c | 940.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Team WE | 8c | 865.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…e005backed Team WE | 17c | 678.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Team WE | 13c | 632.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Team WE | 11c | 610.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team WE | 15c | 569.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team WE | 12c | 564.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team WE | 13c | 542.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Team WE | 19c | 495.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Team WE | 13c | 476.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Team WE | 10c | 472.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team WE | 8c | 460.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…3f96backed Team WE | 11c | 428.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team WE | 12c | 391.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Team WE | 10c | 312.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 274 | 32.5%89 W · 185 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827d…13debacked Team WE | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Team WE | 13c | 295.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Team WE | 12c | 284.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Team WE | 12c | 277.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Team WE | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team WE | 14c | 210.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe205…d3c2backed Team WE | 11c | 200.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Team WE | 7c | 199.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team WE | 11c | 184.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team WE | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Team WE | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Team WE | 13c | 108.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team WE | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team WE | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Team WE | 13c | 77.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team WE | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.