Lol · resolved market

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84048c52ba2a73db6989ff576fb8e6a851f0fedd71dc4dbd9caaf2022bfd28a

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Team WE
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $544,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $660,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,664 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x17f1…af18backed Team WE	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	377	5.6%21 W · 356 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team WE	4c	37,311$1,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,643.35	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Team WE	2c	34,620$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.17	771	31.8%245 W · 526 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed Team WE	3c	29,663$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.24	143	24.5%35 W · 108 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1024…03c5backed Team WE	0c	26,936$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team WE	5c	25,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Team WE	5c	16,013$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.63	211	37.4%79 W · 132 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team WE	5c	13,104$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.83	1,468	28.9%424 W · 1,044 L	+23.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Team WE	2c	9,751$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.67	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team WE	0c	8,026$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Team WE	5c	7,309$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.46	105	21%22 W · 83 L	-10.5wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team WE	5c	6,764$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.21	402	32.8%132 W · 270 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Team WE	2c	6,243$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.81	243	23%56 W · 187 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Team WE	7c	5,360$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.43	184	47.8%88 W · 96 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team WE	6c	5,059$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.52	487	42.3%206 W · 281 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Team WE	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	443	35.4%157 W · 286 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Team WE	5c	3,993$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.59	636	46.9%298 W · 338 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team WE	5c	3,919$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.95	1,092	52.4%572 W · 520 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team WE	5c	3,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Team WE	6c	3,302$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.62	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Team WE	5c	3,237$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.83	610	45.2%276 W · 334 L	+35.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Team WE	5c	2,525$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.24	239	38.1%91 W · 148 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Team WE	4c	2,285$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.35	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Team WE	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-6.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Team WE	6c	1,993$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.59	239	32.6%78 W · 161 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622a…a403backed Team WE	2c	1,874$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Team WE	5c	1,771$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.54	196	48%94 W · 102 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team WE	5c	1,758$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.92	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ebc…e34bbacked Team WE	6c	1,719$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.16	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Team WE	6c	1,573$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.36	274	32.5%89 W · 185 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Team WE	2c	1,569$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	109	33%36 W · 73 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Team WE	6c	1,566$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.07	438	37.9%166 W · 272 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team WE	2c	1,512$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	459	37%170 W · 289 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Team WE	4c	1,328$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.13	216	22.7%49 W · 167 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Team WE	6c	1,227$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	1,447	13.3%192 W · 1,255 L	-109.5wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Team WE	5c	1,111$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Team WE	6c	1,013$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Team WE	2c	965$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	338	57.1%193 W · 145 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Team WE	5c	847.75$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	343	42%144 W · 199 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d78…ffa6backed Team WE	6c	830.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.83	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Team WE	6c	815.43$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	861	44.1%380 W · 481 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf41…bfd4backed Team WE	6c	800$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3a…de76backed Team WE	6c	786.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Team WE	6c	786.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed Team WE	4c	714$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	88	27.3%24 W · 64 L	-11.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1b6…614fbacked Team WE	3c	703.77$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…f535backed Team WE	3c	672.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team WE	6c	551.23$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	276	36.2%100 W · 176 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Team WE	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	786	9.8%77 W · 709 L	+22.8wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Team WE	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	174	31%54 W · 120 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team WE	5c	478.87$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	993	38.6%383 W · 610 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Team WE	6c	471.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	510	44.9%229 W · 281 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Team WE	6c	471.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	757	38.6%292 W · 465 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Team WE	4c	468$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	1,225	49.6%607 W · 618 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…25bdbacked Team WE	4c	467.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	255	43.5%111 W · 144 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Team WE	4c	398.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	75	12%9 W · 66 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team WE	6c	377.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.65	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Team WE	4c	298.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Team WE	6c	269.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	549	44.4%244 W · 305 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4105…9f14backed Team WE	6c	267.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Team WE	5c	246.21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	127	32.3%41 W · 86 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fa…c2e3backed Team WE	6c	235.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Team WE	5c	202.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team WE	9c	201.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed Team WE	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team WE	6c	194.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x730f…306cbacked Team WE	5c	192.51$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-58%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…3654backed Team WE	6c	188.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3761…39e1backed Team WE	6c	188.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team WE	6c	178.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	1,576	48.4%763 W · 813 L	+17.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Team WE	8c	149.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	318	29.2%93 W · 225 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2this page
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event