Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f6e3ac0704cdcf48b06cbffa147d1c3c0d178e800ee03efdd86d9995e3feb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 23,224$18,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,163.02 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team WE | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Team WE | 16c | 5,139$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.86 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team WE | 23c | 4,570$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.92 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team WE | 23c | 3,181$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.74 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 2,930$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.32 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team WE | 24c | 2,845$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.28 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 2,078$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.31 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 2,075$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.99 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team WE | 23c | 1,594$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,341$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.88 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Team WE | 24c | 1,320$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,195$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.84 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Team WE | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Team WE | 20c | 991.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 791.94$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.28 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 776.99$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 727.71$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team WE | 23c | 692.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team WE | 23c | 678.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team WE | 20c | 668.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 779 | 49.9%389 W · 390 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 633.69$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team WE | 18c | 600$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team WE | 26c | 532.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked Team WE | 26c | 529.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 506.58$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team WE | 21c | 498.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Team WE | 20c | 486.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 393.75$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 807 | 32.8%265 W · 542 L | -44.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Team WE | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,444 | 13.2%191 W · 1,253 L | -110.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Team WE | 26c | 372.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE | 22c | 345.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2679…3ad3backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 299.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Team WE | 23c | 294.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 234.7$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…50b8backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 192.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 526 | 46.2%243 W · 283 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team WE | 23c | 163.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 154$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Team WE | 27c | 151.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team WE | 23c | 148.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 144.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 326 | 53.4%174 W · 152 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 130.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…63d6backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…6a5ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 205 | 73.7%151 W · 54 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Team WE | 21c | 124.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team WE | 20c | 123.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team WE | 23c | 121.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team WE | 26c | 118.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Team WE | 26c | 116.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team WE | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team WE | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Team WE | 21c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Team WE | 21c | 79.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…79b8backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 77.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 76.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team WE | 21c | 59.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 58.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 50.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…b52abacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 49.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 48.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Team WE | 26c | 46.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed Team WE | 25c | 46.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 35.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…9cd4backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 29.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…b625backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.