Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2ab3f367748ab9798597b51167948dce7e7173e4dbdb91283e6445067e96e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Team WE | 16c | 55,111$8,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,692.79 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Team WE | 0c | 41,425$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team WE | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team WE | 13c | 12,845$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.47 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team WE | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Team WE | 17c | 8,323$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.95 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team WE | 4c | 8,203$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.22 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE | 13c | 4,032$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.51 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team WE | 12c | 3,325$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team WE | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Team WE | 12c | 2,848$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team WE | 13c | 2,641$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Team WE | 2c | 2,548$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…eb23backed Team WE | 16c | 2,019$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team WE | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Team WE | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…e005backed Team WE | 14c | 1,512$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team WE | 1c | 1,420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team WE | 6c | 1,318$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team WE | 12c | 1,171$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…9751backed Team WE | 10c | 1,152$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team WE | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team WE | 1c | 997.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Team WE | 2c | 818.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team WE | 7c | 699.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Team WE | 18c | 590.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team WE | 14c | 569.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Team WE | 7c | 560.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Team WE | 6c | 556.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team WE | 14c | 540.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team WE | 12c | 428.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team WE | 14c | 376.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Team WE | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Team WE | 10c | 330.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Team WE | 17c | 263.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team WE | 12c | 238.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team WE | 15c | 237.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team WE | 7c | 236$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2679…3ad3backed Team WE | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team WE | 13c | 189.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Team WE | 18c | 152.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 627 | 43.9%275 W · 352 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…6f60backed Team WE | 13c | 122.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Team WE | 17c | 114.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team WE | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…9644backed Team WE | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.