TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb24…6f60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.63
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+293.3%+$59.68
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+97%+$9.9
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.2%+$5.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+141.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$17.53
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.