CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs OlyBet SB (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5356e7b82c902aba53d1a3f1fc885b39a82f0f79cd619ddb32c376571879ee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,596 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OlyBet SB | 19c | 2,411$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.85 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 1,581$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed BESTIA | 78c | 1,358$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed OlyBet SB | 25c | 1,283$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked BESTIA | 72c | 910.71$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BESTIA | 78c | 857$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed OlyBet SB | 26c | 801.36$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked OlyBet SB | 29c | 560$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BESTIA | 77c | 478.57$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BESTIA | 76c | 408.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BESTIA | 80c | 373.7$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed BESTIA | 78c | 330$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 70c | 313.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 75c | 310.11$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 263.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 77c | 251.68$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed BESTIA | 75c | 225.45$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed BESTIA | 76c | 219$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed BESTIA | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed OlyBet SB | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed BESTIA | 75c | 190.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed BESTIA | 74c | 185.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 167.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed OlyBet SB | 12c | 162$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BESTIA | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed BESTIA | 76c | 142.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed BESTIA | 75c | 141.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed BESTIA | 67c | 113.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed OlyBet SB | 23c | 107.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 103.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked OlyBet SB | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked BESTIA | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked OlyBet SB | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 99.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed BESTIA | 75c | 89.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed BESTIA | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked OlyBet SB | 23c | 79.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OlyBet SB | 27c | 79.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 79.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked OlyBet SB | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked BESTIA | 76c | 58.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…6f60backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed BESTIA | 79c | 53.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed OlyBet SB | 26c | 45.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked OlyBet SB | 25c | 41.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…9529backed OlyBet SB | 36c | 41.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed BESTIA | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked BESTIA | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked BESTIA | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed BESTIA | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked BESTIA | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed BESTIA | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked BESTIA | 75c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.