Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6db37a80e6f42b2dcf2019def8e7a5c4d1d1be2791150c8d833512d69c356b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 8,852$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.74 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 3,350$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,728$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 2,122$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 771.36$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 701$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.54 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 607$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.78 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 457.22$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 417$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 29c | 358.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 262.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 176$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 74c | 172.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 26c | 169.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 156.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 72c | 137.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 53c | 66.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 52c | 59.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 54.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 53c | 52.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 75c | 45.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 43.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 53c | 41.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 41.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 75c | 36.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…6f60backed Under | 46c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Over | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Over | 54c | 27.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…a3c6backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 53c | 23.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Over | 52c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 75c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 75c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 75c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 75c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 160.5this page
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-1.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-2.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-3.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-2.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.