Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e36773494025eba7c8c34273bfd3e5b5afa2948b37147bfa9b6a4b3cb43a3ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof New Mexico Lobos, Tulsa Golden Hurricane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 43c | 5,511$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 61c | 3,996$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.81 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 1,738$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.66 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New Mexico Lobos | 56c | 224.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 71c | 213.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 31c | 199.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 60c | 46.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 46c | 33.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 63c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed New Mexico Lobos | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-1.5)this page
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 151.5Under won
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 160.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-2.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-3.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-2.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.