Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Lost Puppies vs LEO (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec28af82addfbcb00323a807a55fe8a6bf639b4e828a9a66419b1eac70ffdf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lost Puppiesof Lost Puppies, LEO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LEO | 46c | 581.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lost Puppies | 49c | 500.21$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.11 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LEO | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Lost Puppies | 61c | 211.88$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…efbebacked Lost Puppies | 51c | 204.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked LEO | 51c | 173.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked LEO | 48c | 163.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Lost Puppies | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed LEO | 44c | 124.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LEO | 44c | 109.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Lost Puppies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed LEO | 52c | 89.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked LEO | 47c | 82.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lost Puppies | 51c | 66.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed LEO | 53c | 64.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lost Puppies | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lost Puppies | 50c | 30.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…6f60backed Lost Puppies | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lost Puppies | 49c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lost Puppies | 51c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.