Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987f4ff1b45b8504f3e5b285adfbe3ebd7de4e19f8a3d0be01ca75bf37cd2a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof French Flair, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked TLN Pirates | 67c | 5,801$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair | 77c | 4,845$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.78 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed French Flair | 38c | 3,987$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.43 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TLN Pirates | 65c | 2,717$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.75 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed TLN Pirates | 24c | 2,360$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.62 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed TLN Pirates | 18c | 1,886$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked TLN Pirates | 64c | 1,597$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.97 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed TLN Pirates | 52c | 1,367$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.25 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked French Flair | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked French Flair | 77c | 680$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked TLN Pirates | 20c | 646.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.04 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TLN Pirates | 19c | 610$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.34 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed French Flair | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed French Flair | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked TLN Pirates | 38c | 520.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed French Flair | 14c | 441$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed French Flair | 27c | 403.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed French Flair | 16c | 393$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked TLN Pirates | 52c | 386.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed French Flair | 14c | 328$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TLN Pirates | 67c | 316.08$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked French Flair | 78c | 275.33$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked TLN Pirates | 42c | 237.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed TLN Pirates | 9c | 225$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked TLN Pirates | 25c | 209$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed French Flair | 37c | 206.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked TLN Pirates | 28c | 201.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed TLN Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed TLN Pirates | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed French Flair | 77c | 199.65$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed French Flair | 73c | 182.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed French Flair | 71c | 134.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair | 61c | 119.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed French Flair | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed French Flair | 25c | 94.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed French Flair | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked French Flair | 70c | 78.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked French Flair | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed French Flair | 19c | 69.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed French Flair | 56c | 62.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked French Flair | 72c | 53.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed French Flair | 42c | 48.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TLN Pirates | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked French Flair | 38c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed TLN Pirates | 49c | 40.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…6f60backed French Flair | 39c | 30.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked French Flair | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed French Flair | 71c | 16.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.