Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49cc354376fa17233d216afc7a5bf54c086584675d9174b2669c42792e6455cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof French Flair, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,250 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TLN Pirates | 0c | 5,945$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…28f7backed TLN Pirates | 6c | 3,032$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed TLN Pirates | 9c | 1,837$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.3 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed TLN Pirates | 5c | 1,392$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed TLN Pirates | 12c | 1,096$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed TLN Pirates | 13c | 893.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TLN Pirates | 12c | 704.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed TLN Pirates | 13c | 688.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked TLN Pirates | 3c | 424.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 385.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked TLN Pirates | 13c | 304.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed TLN Pirates | 12c | 294.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked TLN Pirates | 9c | 286.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…390abacked TLN Pirates | 5c | 277.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…7048backed TLN Pirates | 15c | 247.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed TLN Pirates | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TLN Pirates | 10c | 194.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked TLN Pirates | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked TLN Pirates | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed TLN Pirates | 12c | 147.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed TLN Pirates | 11c | 142.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TLN Pirates | 10c | 137.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed TLN Pirates | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed TLN Pirates | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…7bcbbacked TLN Pirates | 11c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…c251backed TLN Pirates | 15c | 102.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TLN Pirates | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…f70abacked TLN Pirates | 11c | 92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…c0f7backed TLN Pirates | 13c | 85.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.