TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
French Flairof French Flair, TLN Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,891 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdab8…1bc7backed TLN Pirates35c4,296$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.5314936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair77c2,954$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.12,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3c…3293backed French Flair58c2,899$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed TLN Pirates22c2,871$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.586328.6%18 W · 45 L-11.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TLN Pirates1c2,613$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…7736backed French Flair59c1,862$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.591560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked French Flair68c1,662$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.462,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed TLN Pirates12c1,511$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4537754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f5…90abbacked TLN Pirates36c1,231$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.183966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TLN Pirates39c1,173$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.111,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked TLN Pirates47c1,116$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.582060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked TLN Pirates17c1,080$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked TLN Pirates32c1,015$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.955131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed TLN Pirates34c806.4$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7413137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed French Flair77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18486758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed French Flair61c776.87$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7644042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TLN Pirates36c666.46$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.231,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked TLN Pirates3c612.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed TLN Pirates26c530$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.818350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed French Flair68c529.71$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.571163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…f500backed TLN Pirates37c492$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c47…1189backed French Flair67c448.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed French Flair62c423.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49df…6b03backed TLN Pirates37c423$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed TLN Pirates32c414.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.13441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed French Flair61c361.48$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.484327.9%12 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked French Flair69c322.3$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.912,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked French Flair67c320$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.64951%25 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed French Flair63c318.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.782835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed French Flair66c302.08$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6616452.4%86 W · 78 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5019…a129backed TLN Pirates37c283$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5991…7760backed French Flair63c279$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked French Flair64c277.66$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…b9e8backed TLN Pirates37c276$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c4…0eb3backed French Flair63c269$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3871…669abacked TLN Pirates37c267$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…78bdbacked French Flair63c266$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a8…6932backed French Flair63c262$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked French Flair63c253.36$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.743237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed French Flair68c252.94$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.946035%21 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x639f…fa63backed French Flair63c248$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…2418backed French Flair63c236$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+130.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0f…1fbabacked TLN Pirates8c232.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TLN Pirates37c232.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.141,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c3…2149backed French Flair65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.776741.8%28 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae8…9bcebacked French Flair63c230$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed French Flair80c230$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.224065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba29…220ebacked French Flair63c228$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb17…93efbacked French Flair63c225$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac6…82aabacked French Flair63c223$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked French Flair66c220.4$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9410749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…3318backed French Flair63c217$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x801f…571fbacked French Flair63c214$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…ef62backed TLN Pirates37c210$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed French Flair63c207.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.945034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates22c205.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.212,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe3…98cfbacked French Flair63c204$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdedd…6078backed French Flair63c201$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed TLN Pirates15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ca8…bf6bbacked TLN Pirates37c196$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ca…cfa0backed TLN Pirates37c195$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7364…f19cbacked TLN Pirates37c192$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9f…63f1backed TLN Pirates37c183$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb8…beaabacked French Flair62c182.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3f…3297backed TLN Pirates37c178$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5683…6096backed French Flair63c175$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6980…fd6cbacked TLN Pirates37c173$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8686…855fbacked TLN Pirates37c170$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65bf…3906backed French Flair59c169.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+95.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9686…c4c3backed TLN Pirates37c169$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd572…5510backed French Flair68c166.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.187147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed TLN Pirates37c165.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6289810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked TLN Pirates33c154$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.548143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked French Flair66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd73…74dcbacked TLN Pirates37c146$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed French Flair61c140.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.291,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked TLN Pirates11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d2…6a7fbacked TLN Pirates37c133$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab5…e252backed TLN Pirates37c133$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked French Flair77c120$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.47856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1a2…e35ebacked TLN Pirates36c112$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d74…5cf6backed TLN Pirates36c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36c…f8b3backed TLN Pirates36c109$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed TLN Pirates48c104.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed TLN Pirates26c104.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1716935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3afb…24edbacked French Flair64c103.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked French Flair65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521059%124 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed TLN Pirates11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed TLN Pirates26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.726865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed French Flair61c93.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9704…9d43backed French Flair65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed French Flair67c74.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5528458.5%166 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ed…9f33backed French Flair63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3792…792cbacked French Flair64c65.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc734…aaa5backed French Flair65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…849cbacked French Flair65c63.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4380…ebffbacked TLN Pirates37c61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed French Flair66c53.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.173953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe827…567fbacked French Flair63c49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.