Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15054366dbd685c1708e13995bfc7ec316ad9b5d3118219f61a69f00e9d60010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof French Flair, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed French Flair | 63c | 8,792$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.32 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TLN Pirates | 46c | 7,618$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.04 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TLN Pirates | 38c | 5,137$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.57 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed TLN Pirates | 43c | 4,320$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.63 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked TLN Pirates | 38c | 2,794$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.66 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked French Flair | 63c | 2,416$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.93 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked French Flair | 57c | 1,499$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.03 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TLN Pirates | 36c | 1,469$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.86 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TLN Pirates | 36c | 1,450$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.71 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked French Flair | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked French Flair | 71c | 931$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 743$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.37 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TLN Pirates | 30c | 689$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked French Flair | 71c | 562.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates | 53c | 551.83$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed TLN Pirates | 8c | 541.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked French Flair | 78c | 530$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed French Flair | 78c | 385.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked TLN Pirates | 42c | 372.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 307.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TLN Pirates | 16c | 307.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked TLN Pirates | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +11.4wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed French Flair | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked TLN Pirates | 22c | 220$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed TLN Pirates | 64c | 210.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed French Flair | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked TLN Pirates | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed French Flair | 48c | 194.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked French Flair | 49c | 190.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed French Flair | 43c | 184.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked French Flair | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked French Flair | 77c | 175.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair | 60c | 167.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TLN Pirates | 31c | 166$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked TLN Pirates | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked French Flair | 69c | 125.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed TLN Pirates | 11c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TLN Pirates | 21c | 112.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TLN Pirates | 31c | 111.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed French Flair | 66c | 106.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TLN Pirates | 22c | 104.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked TLN Pirates | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 991 | 47.1%467 W · 524 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed French Flair | 70c | 98.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed TLN Pirates | 34c | 97.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed French Flair | 79c | 69.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 493 | 66.7%329 W · 164 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed TLN Pirates | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TLN Pirates | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 54.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked French Flair | 53c | 52.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed French Flair | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked French Flair | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed French Flair | 61c | 50.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked French Flair | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed French Flair | 78c | 41.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed French Flair | 75c | 35.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,397 | 43.7%611 W · 786 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed French Flair | 53c | 32.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed TLN Pirates | 45c | 25.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed French Flair | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.