Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614e0cb3e5dc042d257333f978b445e6b4e9fb7980325349eeba5432daf63639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof French Flair, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair | 79c | 4,170$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.26 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TLN Pirates | 22c | 1,121$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TLN Pirates | 20c | 900.13$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TLN Pirates | 20c | 560$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 7c | 560$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked TLN Pirates | 19c | 529.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TLN Pirates | 20c | 450.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked French Flair | 76c | 416.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed French Flair | 79c | 381.3$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked TLN Pirates | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked French Flair | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked French Flair | 80c | 210.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TLN Pirates | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked TLN Pirates | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed French Flair | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed French Flair | 75c | 179.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TLN Pirates | 20c | 177.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked TLN Pirates | 25c | 174.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed TLN Pirates | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked TLN Pirates | 22c | 86.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked TLN Pirates | 20c | 78.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked French Flair | 76c | 68.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed French Flair | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed French Flair | 75c | 42.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked French Flair | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.