Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Xavier Musketeers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4795e0c2ae5a610fe9c1c8136fe94976d16ec065ebfa4a3e976e9643567be1bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Seton Hall Pirates, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 2,999$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.67 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 2,131$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.69 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 1,616$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.42 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 1,561$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 1,530$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 1,347$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.71 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 61c | 1,156$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 940.58$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 751.86$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.37 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 704.28$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seton Hall Pirates | 52c | 581.86$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.29 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Xavier Musketeers | 23c | 563.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 495.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seton Hall Pirates | 62c | 469.07$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 465.11$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 452$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.92 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 444.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 419.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xavier Musketeers | 15c | 390.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 41c | 378.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 362.26$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seton Hall Pirates | 64c | 298.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 240.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 238.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Xavier Musketeers | 49c | 220.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 216.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 210.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 199.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 59c | 192.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 180.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 180.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Xavier Musketeers | 44c | 178.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 160.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 36c | 155.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 60c | 153.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 147.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 146.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 144.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 138.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 126.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d9…3fcebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 118.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 112.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 62c | 107.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…ec39backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seton Hall Pirates | 60c | 99.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 79.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 69.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 59.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 61c | 58.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 56.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 55.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 52.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Seton Hall Pirates | 52c | 48.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Xavier Musketeers | 51c | 43.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Xavier Musketeers | 41c | 39.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Seton Hall Pirates | 44c | 39.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 38.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 30.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Xavier Musketeers | 43c | 26.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 23.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…6f60backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Xavier Musketeersthis page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-1.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.