TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36f0…2711

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT6162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.66
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU Sharksbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.07
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$32.7
Boston Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.52
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$37.31
Winthrop Eagles vs. High Point Panthersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.43
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.49
Samford Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs (W)backed Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.83
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Idaho Vandalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$29.97
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$22.65
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribebacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+48.3%+$12.26
California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.73
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.2%+$44.26
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$28
Northeastern Huskies vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32.63
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.8%+$54.7
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.4%+$21.56
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.15
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.3%+$11.56
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.31
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+39.1%+$16.3
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$25.85
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$108.72
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.5
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+74.4%+$14.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.5%+$8.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.