TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LIU Sharksof Mercyhurst Lakers, LIU Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,344 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd36…6ec9backed Mercyhurst Lakers34c8,446$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.55752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LIU Sharks66c2,976$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.722,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers32c1,905$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.6327947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked LIU Sharks66c1,787$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.6218954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked LIU Sharks68c1,764$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.831,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers32c1,689$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.4274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked LIU Sharks67c1,535$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.082,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mercyhurst Lakers17c1,404$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked LIU Sharks66c1,325$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45012,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed LIU Sharks69c1,035$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.91,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked LIU Sharks67c796.95$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.03922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-60.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mercyhurst Lakers15c720.25$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0426945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed LIU Sharks75c717.19$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.615,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Mercyhurst Lakers32c690.17$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Mercyhurst Lakers29c673.56$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.541,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LIU Sharks67c630.9$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.235147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed LIU Sharks69c581.85$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.877460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked LIU Sharks70c570.5$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.194,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Mercyhurst Lakers33c524.91$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2232751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed LIU Sharks70c482.86$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.862850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed LIU Sharks68c479.3$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.86248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mercyhurst Lakers31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c299.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4924432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed LIU Sharks70c291$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.21,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Mercyhurst Lakers32c282.61$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.525829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mercyhurst Lakers35c243.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.123,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed LIU Sharks68c233.5$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.721,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Mercyhurst Lakers43c232.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Mercyhurst Lakers39c195.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Mercyhurst Lakers29c171.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.646346%29 W · 34 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mercyhurst Lakers30c164.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers21c154.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1625337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers31c151.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed LIU Sharks69c151.03$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.828555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Mercyhurst Lakers30c147.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed LIU Sharks70c144.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0211243.8%49 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked LIU Sharks69c144.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1183350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Mercyhurst Lakers34c144$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.614448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Mercyhurst Lakers35c132.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed LIU Sharks75c132.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.182564%16 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked LIU Sharks67c122.58$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.453554.3%19 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Mercyhurst Lakers39c112.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed Mercyhurst Lakers39c110.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed LIU Sharks68c101.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4075…bb63backed LIU Sharks69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa584…02b1backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c99.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LIU Sharks56c91.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Mercyhurst Lakers26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.49845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c87.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.282846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Mercyhurst Lakers34c87.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.765945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked LIU Sharks69c86.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.759554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c80.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9725544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked LIU Sharks68c74.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9713560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked LIU Sharks69c72.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.454,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed LIU Sharks69c71.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.31,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Mercyhurst Lakers31c71.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed LIU Sharks66c65.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1362451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed LIU Sharks59c64.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.32,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers31c59.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.181,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Mercyhurst Lakers39c58.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f0…2711backed LIU Sharks57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.076162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mercyhurst Lakers30c46.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.241,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed LIU Sharks68c43.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked LIU Sharks71c42.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3916243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked LIU Sharks72c41.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.712544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed LIU Sharks69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.852365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LIU Sharks56c34.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2331837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6232…85e5backed LIU Sharks72c32.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.235972.9%43 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12bb…cee9backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdad6…6287backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…2055backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed LIU Sharks66c32.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.816566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed LIU Sharks53c29.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked LIU Sharks67c24.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.09707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed LIU Sharks65c24.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.542445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d7…7ffcbacked LIU Sharks67c22.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d8…8f7cbacked LIU Sharks67c20.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.851764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed LIU Sharks80c20.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…d691backed LIU Sharks75c18.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.55666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed LIU Sharks65c17.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3615066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked LIU Sharks69c17.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2dd6backed LIU Sharks67c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.613455.9%19 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed LIU Sharks62c16.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked LIU Sharks72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.223956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.