Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: LIU Sharks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f896138c1551897a1e610bbac8c53e9a5e19e4abc4570e73d88865e09565d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof LIU Sharks, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 46,935$22,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,998.39 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed LIU Sharks | 51c | 43,539$22,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,271.75 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed LIU Sharks | 49c | 17,661$8,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,007.14 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed LIU Sharks | 51c | 11,662$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,714.62 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 9,981$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090.45 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 50c | 4,870$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 3,655$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.37 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 1,031$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.76 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 1,019$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 707.84$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 698.83$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.41 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LIU Sharks | 45c | 670.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 53c | 649.8$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.67 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 582.86$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.26 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 558.08$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.93 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 535.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LIU Sharks | 48c | 508.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked LIU Sharks | 48c | 299.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 63c | 267.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 223.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 217.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 149.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 133.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed LIU Sharks | 51c | 123.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LIU Sharks | 48c | 111.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked LIU Sharks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 97.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 97.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 73.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 62c | 69.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked LIU Sharks | 30c | 51.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed LIU Sharks | 51c | 42.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…78aabacked LIU Sharks | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 38.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 38.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 37.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 34.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 34.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 53c | 29.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 55c | 29.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…e6f7backed LIU Sharks | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed LIU Sharks | 40c | 28.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 26.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 54c | 25.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7f8bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked LIU Sharks | 51c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed LIU Sharks | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-5.5)this page
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU SharksLIU Sharks won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 133.5Over won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 134.5Over won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 135.5Over won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-4.5)LIU Sharks won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-6.5)LIU Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.