Fifa International · resolved market
Will Beauty And A Beat be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ec71e94370d893f1772902a5fa2afe15b8e8eb39e431040bd1824fa8a625aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15be…a62fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,689$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 1,348$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 76c | 399.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…aef0backed Yes | 12c | 127.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed No | 76c | 65.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 76c | 57.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed No | 76c | 32.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6df8backed Yes | 49c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beauty And A Beat be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?this page
- Will Baby be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Daisies be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Sorry be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Yukon be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.