Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078c6173a55c59d79742a529ea5b765ea0f13795f4b4b8034510bac88ba92b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Tennessee State Buccaneersof Western Carolina Catamounts, East Tennessee State Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,406 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 25c | 35,521$9,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,017.52 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 23c | 2,972$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.82 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 26c | 1,235$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 75c | 1,029$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 14c | 786.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 76c | 498.04$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 75c | 478.29$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 59c | 406.53$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 27c | 389.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 51c | 340.54$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 80c | 317.41$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 60c | 307.14$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 40c | 288.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 28c | 285.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 50c | 242.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 70c | 185.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.36 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 36c | 181.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 76c | 148.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 18c | 137.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 23c | 131.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 41c | 117.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 18c | 115.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 26c | 105.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 67c | 98.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 22c | 87.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 14c | 80.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 20c | 62.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 20c | 50.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 75c | 34.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 58c | 27.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 77c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.