Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d351d25a42337e375754d8b7724ae3cf5cdf921fa5dc0cb142b434de927d9ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCG Spartansof VMI Keydets, UNCG Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNCG Spartans | 74c | 2,875$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.81 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked VMI Keydets | 25c | 2,056$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.68 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNCG Spartans | 76c | 2,014$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed VMI Keydets | 26c | 1,811$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.78 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked VMI Keydets | 25c | 1,515$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.55 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UNCG Spartans | 75c | 1,352$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.02 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UNCG Spartans | 74c | 574.51$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed VMI Keydets | 9c | 544.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VMI Keydets | 19c | 504.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed VMI Keydets | 27c | 479.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked VMI Keydets | 27c | 420.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed VMI Keydets | 26c | 410.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCG Spartans | 74c | 384.77$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VMI Keydets | 11c | 351.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UNCG Spartans | 80c | 303.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked UNCG Spartans | 75c | 231.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UNCG Spartans | 75c | 201.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked VMI Keydets | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked VMI Keydets | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VMI Keydets | 20c | 196.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed VMI Keydets | 26c | 178.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed UNCG Spartans | 74c | 134.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…7132backed UNCG Spartans | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed UNCG Spartans | 74c | 99.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VMI Keydets | 20c | 90.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed VMI Keydets | 26c | 77.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b68dbacked VMI Keydets | 26c | 76.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UNCG Spartans | 79c | 73.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked VMI Keydets | 26c | 73.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked VMI Keydets | 26c | 72.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNCG Spartans | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked UNCG Spartans | 74c | 59.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed VMI Keydets | 25c | 52.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…c8b1backed VMI Keydets | 26c | 51.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UNCG Spartans | 80c | 49.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed VMI Keydets | 27c | 49.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed UNCG Spartans | 76c | 44.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed VMI Keydets | 26c | 43.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UNCG Spartans | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNCG Spartans | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed UNCG Spartans | 76c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed UNCG Spartans | 75c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed UNCG Spartans | 75c | 13.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartansthis page
- Spread: UNCG Spartans (-6.5)UNCG Spartans won
- Spread: UNCG Spartans (-7.5)UNCG Spartans won
- VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 154.5Under won
- VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.