Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5674a9b8c94e205dfefe8a45bcd10f72e35f94610498b0c0a65e3c7149e0fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof Elon Phoenix, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,208 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed William & Mary Tribe | 74c | 5,149$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.69 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed William & Mary Tribe | 68c | 4,316$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.64 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 27c | 3,558$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 25c | 2,746$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Elon Phoenix | 35c | 2,232$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.23 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 2,229$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.91 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed William & Mary Tribe | 74c | 1,934$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 1,600$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked William & Mary Tribe | 74c | 1,344$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.01 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Elon Phoenix | 26c | 1,240$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 992.15$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked William & Mary Tribe | 68c | 937.8$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 65c | 905.74$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Elon Phoenix | 26c | 573.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Elon Phoenix | 35c | 405.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Elon Phoenix | 10c | 398.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 388.24$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Elon Phoenix | 21c | 371.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 312$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Elon Phoenix | 34c | 300.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Elon Phoenix | 31c | 256.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Elon Phoenix | 20c | 254.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 212.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 35c | 198.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 182.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 155.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 155.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 139.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 131.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…c6adbacked Elon Phoenix | 14c | 123.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Elon Phoenix | 20c | 104.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 99.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Elon Phoenix | 24c | 87.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 82.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 80.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elon Phoenix | 21c | 79.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 78.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…4c0bbacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 77.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 74.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 73.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 67.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elon Phoenix | 27c | 65.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 71c | 64.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Elon Phoenix | 35c | 63.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed William & Mary Tribe | 75c | 62.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Elon Phoenix | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Elon Phoenix | 25c | 45.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 37.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Elon Phoenix | 34c | 35.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed William & Mary Tribe | 79c | 34.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Elon Phoenix | 35c | 33.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 27.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed William & Mary Tribe | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked William & Mary Tribe | 70c | 24.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed William & Mary Tribe | 79c | 20.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked William & Mary Tribe | 75c | 19.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribethis page
- Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-5.5)William & Mary Tribe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.