Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5c51ae8711775ab5c443c9f18a4d4c35143ac5fb00a915694433ff0d23efbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Idaho State Bengals, Portland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,671 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Idaho State Bengals | 0c | 29,969$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho State Bengals | 26c | 10,407$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Portland State Vikings | 73c | 8,978$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.33 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 19c | 3,388$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.91 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 2,241$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 1,891$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.06 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 1,578$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Portland State Vikings | 69c | 1,016$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Portland State Vikings | 70c | 904.2$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.81 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Idaho State Bengals | 31c | 779.02$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Idaho State Bengals | 32c | 695.31$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho State Bengals | 28c | 603.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Idaho State Bengals | 30c | 552.22$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Idaho State Bengals | 27c | 530.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Idaho State Bengals | 26c | 412.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Idaho State Bengals | 15c | 385.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Portland State Vikings | 78c | 298.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Idaho State Bengals | 21c | 268.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 211.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Idaho State Bengals | 33c | 199.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Idaho State Bengals | 32c | 198.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 170.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Idaho State Bengals | 30c | 132.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Portland State Vikings | 70c | 107.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Idaho State Bengals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 99.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 28c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 81.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Idaho State Bengals | 30c | 80.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Portland State Vikings | 70c | 71.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Portland State Vikings | 67c | 68.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Portland State Vikings | 69c | 65.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Portland State Vikings | 80c | 58.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Idaho State Bengals | 26c | 57.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 54.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Idaho State Bengals | 20c | 49.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Portland State Vikings | 80c | 49.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Idaho State Bengals | 31c | 49.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Portland State Vikings | 67c | 44.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Idaho State Bengals | 31c | 38.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…3006backed Idaho State Bengals | 32c | 32.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Portland State Vikings | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…fdbcbacked Portland State Vikings | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Portland State Vikings | 71c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Portland State Vikings | 75c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikingsthis page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-5.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-6.5)Portland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.