Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2841e049aa3bbcd916280f1da1200d3436e3ec40fcc115bf798a8ee7a834e22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Sacred Heart Pioneers, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,445 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 4,985$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.09 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 74c | 2,672$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 9c | 2,408$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 76c | 2,160$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 23c | 1,763$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 29c | 1,460$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 22c | 1,131$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 30c | 928.43$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.53 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Merrimack College Warriors | 74c | 886.85$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 14c | 615.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 603.97$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 580.79$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 441.14$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 26c | 396.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 13c | 345.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 19c | 315.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 25c | 299.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 71c | 288.06$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 221.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Merrimack College Warriors | 78c | 219.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 26c | 219.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 28c | 198.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e94…4b4bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 25c | 152.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 76c | 130.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 26c | 126.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 28c | 99.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 98.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 74c | 91.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 25c | 86.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 24c | 69.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 22c | 67.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Merrimack College Warriors | 74c | 67.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers | 20c | 66.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 25c | 57.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 49.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Sacred Heart Pioneers | 26c | 43.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Merrimack College Warriors | 72c | 41.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 38.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…9f1abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 74c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Merrimack College Warriors | 74c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.