TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe092…9f1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20469.6%142 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 204 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$49.92
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.43
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.78
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.99
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Showing 25 of 204 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.22
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.98
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.28
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bearsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.62
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.91
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.62
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.62
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.28
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.08
Brown Bears vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.69
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.6%+$12.73
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+370.3%+$148.13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+194.1%+$39.39
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.9%+$33.83
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-74.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$11.15
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$14.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$14.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.