Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e0c6e301c82dfdd5412f213eda70965fea84c4036b82453f61340dc133504e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 3,595$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.86 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,931$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 868.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…4164backed No | 38c | 790$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 595.72$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 518$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 24c | 413$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 76c | 410.03$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 282.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 35c | 251.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 59c | 163.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -5.7wins | -0.57per pick | 67cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…8bd6backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 153.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 144.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 134.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 77c | 132.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 35c | 125.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed Yes | 40c | 92.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 84.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…3735backed No | 43c | 69.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 44c | 67.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 43c | 63.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 58c | 59.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 58c | 59.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 61c | 58.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 58.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 61c | 58.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 58.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 61c | 58.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 61c | 58.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 50c | 52.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 44c | 49.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 75c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 24c | 41.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 62c | 35.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 62c | 35.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…b584backed Yes | 39c | 35.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 59c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 59c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 39c | 28.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked No | 45c | 27.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…301bbacked Yes | 43c | 25.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed No | 60c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…9f1abacked Yes | 63c | 21.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 59c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 64c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 76c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.