TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31c1…7047backed Yes38c12,038$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,539.393167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c3,337$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.425,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No48c2,692$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.692552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c2,281$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.052,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked No50c1,955$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.74344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c1,852$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.017,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c1,800$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.591,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No30c1,796$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.47731.2%24 W · 53 L+10.1wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+229.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No49c1,657$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.154266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c1,309$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.292,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c1,124$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.382,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes54c937.16$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.031,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No47c828.21$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.215349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes32c811.88$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.586829.4%20 W · 48 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c750$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19558229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes33c515.09$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.981822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Yes53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No49c409.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.398844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes51c372.44$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9411755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016826.2%44 W · 124 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No48c326.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.014654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c306.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4712437.9%47 W · 77 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf0…8715backed Yes21c295.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes52c287.62$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.71,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc196…77b6backed Yes12c280.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes21c240.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9947926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No68c198.46$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.513534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010155.4%56 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes53c179.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.442347.8%202 W · 221 L+1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes32c172.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9243721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c162.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5613357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c154.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.062,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes53c140.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7312746.5%59 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Yes38c127.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes51c115.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.831,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5814…229abacked No43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.022740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes14c88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes47c85.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3525653.1%136 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes47c85.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3519860.1%119 W · 79 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes16c81.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0664143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Yes32c79.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes47c78.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9120953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes53c78.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.511163.1%70 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes40c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.417745.2%80 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No60c76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.418852.7%99 W · 89 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb803…8744backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0185…3735backed Yes26c73.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No75c67.24$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5216756.3%94 W · 73 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No75c67.24$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5211155.9%62 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes52c65.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410848.1%52 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c63.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8938358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No76c63.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8926060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes21c61.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1767348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c61.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes58c61.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.529244.9%131 W · 161 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No49c59.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5913528.9%39 W · 96 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c57.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.891,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No76c57.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8438359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1197…8600backed Yes52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No77c51.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9732259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No75c49.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3311056.4%62 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.387859%46 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes51c43.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9424146.9%113 W · 128 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c31…f06abacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.898643%37 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c36.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8398653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621644.4%96 W · 120 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159856.1%55 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1223256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158148.1%39 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7516750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes51c22.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Yes59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.815568.4%106 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No80c12.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.515160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.517836.5%65 W · 113 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.