Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b52fe6e9f7832bf6e95ce30aa1d8fcf338b75b1cedcda2b1d41b151313c0b84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 4,394$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.47 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,307$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.06 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,157$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.3 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 851.07$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 498.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 29c | 490.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.91 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 32c | 333.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 241.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 238.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 215$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked No | 34c | 191.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 165$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 151.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 140.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 131.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 66c | 104.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 77c | 84.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 25c | 76.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 27c | 74.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 30c | 73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 20c | 68.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 20c | 59.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 24c | 43.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 62c | 40.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec9b…563abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 67c | 36.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a91…c1f2backed No | 80c | 33.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…587ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 79c | 22.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 80c | 19.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 77c | 18.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-10?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.