TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0185…3735

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.39
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.38
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Monza: Mattia Bellucci vs Dino Prizmicbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
BMW Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
BMW Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.19
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Otto Virtanenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.61
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.54
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.61
Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)backed Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanchbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs Pliskovabacked Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs Minaurbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$34.17
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Karlsruher SC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$47.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$62.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.