Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548650be213dcc67551c18ea6a109bb0e962d77843e5350b273cd1ec5da4092b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Zverev | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sinner | 68c | 19,199$13,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Zverev | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sinner | 68c | 13,955$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.64 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Sinner | 62c | 9,016$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.76 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Sinner | 62c | 8,519$5,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.48 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Zverev | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Sinner | 67c | 2,308$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.9 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sinner | 61c | 2,231$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Sinner | 68c | 1,743$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.61 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zverev | 37c | 1,502$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.61 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sinner | 68c | 1,090$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Zverev | 39c | 1,051$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.73 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 38c | 969.79$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…3f10backed Zverev | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Zverev | 40c | 499.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Sinner | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Sinner | 65c | 400.63$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Sinner | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Zverev | 42c | 299.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Sinner | 64c | 295.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Sinner | 68c | 288.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Sinner | 62c | 267.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Zverev | 41c | 263.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Zverev | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Sinner | 62c | 242.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Sinner | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Sinner | 62c | 163.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zverev | 38c | 150.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Sinner | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Sinner | 61c | 149.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Zverev | 39c | 123.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Sinner | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Zverev | 14c | 105.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef8…3a02backed Sinner | 61c | 102.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Sinner | 68c | 100.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…3735backed Zverev | 23c | 88.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Zverev | 38c | 88.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Sinner | 68c | 87.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Zverev | 40c | 81.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zverev | 26c | 78.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Zverev | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Sinner | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Sinner | 62c | 58.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Sinner | 68c | 57.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Zverev | 38c | 57.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Zverev | 40c | 56.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Zverev | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Sinner | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zverev | 39c | 43.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Sinner | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Sinner | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Sinner | 61c | 39.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Sinner | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Zverev | 40c | 34.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Zverev | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…d8f6backed Zverev | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Sinner | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Sinner | 61c | 21.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Sinner | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs SinnerSinner won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.