Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf2e8852bd927c21abcaa7e3c2e8a4c3c80cab8ac2f5e33ab0c80bb83ae5fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vacherotof Vacherot, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Minaur | 63c | 595.56$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Minaur | 54c | 313.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vacherot | 61c | 304.21$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Minaur | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed Vacherot | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minaur | 58c | 261.45$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Vacherot | 42c | 230.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Vacherot | 36c | 176.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Vacherot | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Vacherot | 75c | 144.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minaur | 65c | 142.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Minaur | 62c | 110.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Vacherot | 36c | 106.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Minaur | 61c | 100.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Vacherot | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Minaur | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Vacherot | 35c | 75.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vacherot | 62c | 71.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vacherot | 62c | 64.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Vacherot | 36c | 63.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Vacherot | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Vacherot | 36c | 61.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…3735backed Vacherot | 42c | 59.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Minaur | 45c | 37.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Vacherot | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Minaur | 55c | 30.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Vacherot | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Vacherot | 46c | 28.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minaur | 64c | 27.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Minaur | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…3235backed Minaur | 62c | 19.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs Minaurthis page
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de MinaurValentin Vacherot won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)Vacherot won
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Valentin Vacherot vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.