Tennis · resolved market
Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7cb98797e2804ea4d479356642df53020fdc17050d16a8bf0f19f871a0c5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 56c | 4,299$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.64 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Over | 50c | 4,130$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.78 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 44c | 3,906$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.05 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 2,033$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.67 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under | 43c | 1,988$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.82 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Over | 57c | 1,492$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.58 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 58c | 596.58$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Over | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…9107backed Over | 58c | 316.89$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Over | 62c | 315.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 47c | 291.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 57c | 136.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Over | 57c | 117.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Over | 58c | 85.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 51.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…7848backed Over | 58c | 50.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…aaaebacked Over | 57c | 45.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Under | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 42c | 38.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 43c | 37.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…4367backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 44c | 33.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 515 | 45.8%236 W · 279 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 44c | 29.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 43c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 56c | 24.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Over | 58c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed Over | 58c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de MinaurValentin Vacherot won
- Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs MinaurVacherot won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)Vacherot won
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Vacherot vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Valentin Vacherot vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.