TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pacheco

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luka Pavlovicof Luka Pavlovic, Rodrigo Pacheco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b54…abd2backed Rodrigo Pacheco0c113,007$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13bb…a36cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco71c5,886$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.4311857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic44c4,224$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.9211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic46c3,523$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.886,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Luka Pavlovic21c2,692$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.671,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Rodrigo Pacheco66c1,800$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.164,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Pavlovic22c1,604$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.386,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luka Pavlovic46c1,456$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Rodrigo Pacheco65c1,364$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.741,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Luka Pavlovic52c1,273$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.94,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luka Pavlovic35c1,259$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.815,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rodrigo Pacheco65c1,161$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.463,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic8c1,030$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.518,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Rodrigo Pacheco59c914.96$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.3737351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rodrigo Pacheco26c864.77$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.242,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Rodrigo Pacheco60c812.16$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.033735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rodrigo Pacheco68c631.81$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.934,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Luka Pavlovic31c513.3$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rodrigo Pacheco77c497.82$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.359,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Luka Pavlovic40c438$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.87,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Rodrigo Pacheco9c388.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.521,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Rodrigo Pacheco59c332.85$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.031,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Luka Pavlovic36c169.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.056,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Rodrigo Pacheco58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Luka Pavlovic42c165.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.794,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6173…f49abacked Rodrigo Pacheco79c164.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.343063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Luka Pavlovic41c149.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0440548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Luka Pavlovic17c143.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.971217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Luka Pavlovic54c142.63$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.945051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Luka Pavlovic41c139.8$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4825342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rodrigo Pacheco60c139.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0656754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rodrigo Pacheco56c133.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Luka Pavlovic42c127.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0185…3735backed Luka Pavlovic38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Rodrigo Pacheco62c111.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.21,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Luka Pavlovic18c108.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.412,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Luka Pavlovic45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0934637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luka Pavlovic42c104.21$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.477,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Luka Pavlovic38c96.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6929952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Rodrigo Pacheco78c74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5391880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Luka Pavlovic30c73.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9790335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Rodrigo Pacheco55c70.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.643666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Rodrigo Pacheco30c67.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7849342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Luka Pavlovic41c66.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2919851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…9541backed Luka Pavlovic45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.462665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Luka Pavlovic25c63.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2356817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Luka Pavlovic45c62.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.748453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Luka Pavlovic45c62.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Luka Pavlovic36c60.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9143062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Luka Pavlovic37c59.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.613,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luka Pavlovic28c58.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.277,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Luka Pavlovic26c55.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.293429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc6…0ce8backed Rodrigo Pacheco52c54.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Luka Pavlovic44c53.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6a…c76abacked Rodrigo Pacheco56c52.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.212634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2b8…b312backed Rodrigo Pacheco60c50.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.267669.7%53 W · 23 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Luka Pavlovic41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Rodrigo Pacheco61c49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8957267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Luka Pavlovic30c40.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.575242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Rodrigo Pacheco71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.424632.9%81 W · 165 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Rodrigo Pacheco69c37.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1265952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Rodrigo Pacheco70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Luka Pavlovic41c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Rodrigo Pacheco56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4788560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Rodrigo Pacheco64c34.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0417152.6%90 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Rodrigo Pacheco75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3365…6261backed Rodrigo Pacheco60c32.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Luka Pavlovic44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Rodrigo Pacheco80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Luka Pavlovic51c27.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.544259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Rodrigo Pacheco58c27.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8119344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Rodrigo Pacheco68c25.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.413151.9%68 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Rodrigo Pacheco69c25.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Rodrigo Pacheco56c24.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7315163.6%96 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Rodrigo Pacheco59c24.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.279744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Rodrigo Pacheco69c23.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…1414backed Rodrigo Pacheco58c22.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.349645.8%44 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Rodrigo Pacheco79c22.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7921172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeefb…d11fbacked Rodrigo Pacheco53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a4…6692backed Rodrigo Pacheco62c18.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed Rodrigo Pacheco55c18.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.