TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No14c19,780$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.183,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No5c10,011$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.115945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c7,596$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.392,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No7c7,233$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.743756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No8c6,136$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2748141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No6c5,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010641.5%44 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No17c3,945$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.621,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c3,552$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.0734547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No12c3,537$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1320845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c3,424$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.626744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No64c2,959$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes37c2,675$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.052454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Yes37c2,601$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2605168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.969854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No64c1,987$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.361936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No6c1,982$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8681732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No13c1,395$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3617749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes36c1,226$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.397639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No12c1,206$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.148251.2%42 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes77c1,137$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.957657.9%44 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Yes37c1,022$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.871968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17033737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No12c976.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.220548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c850.04$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.031,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No14c823.14$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.242240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes60c732$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No11c697.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6914055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No14c695.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2711049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes71c660.91$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7564043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No64c596.43$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.726647%31 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No63c560.64$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.216761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes36c560$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.48050%40 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No63c530.71$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0929855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No15c526.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7914652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No9c525.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.273234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes37c520.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.675455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…2d87backed Yes37c520.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes36c509.03$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.784134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No18c503.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.026755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c477.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c458.28$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7238646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No14c442.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8910647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes37c442.09$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.521855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed No6c427.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf402…b3cdbacked No6c426.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No64c410.93$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.998950.6%45 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No64c410.93$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.998851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c399.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9923046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes37c364.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.372751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No64c362.01$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.698949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No14c356.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No14c356.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9517852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No14c356.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.956453.1%34 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c347.01$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0933047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No8c346.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.365127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4215048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4212346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c332.01$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4942046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No7c323.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6121355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No55c300$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8520645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes36c288.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.632751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No15c276.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.435149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No14c274.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0818644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes37c271.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.089937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No9c260.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.332832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes37c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8310946.8%51 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No16c242.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.647335.6%26 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No14c222.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1448658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No15c212.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.947749.4%38 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc510…065dbacked No5c205.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1283129%9 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No64c199.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.34845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c186.13$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4239857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No62c179.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5920545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes68c173.51$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.155356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes37c168.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.234461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No63c152.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.045156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48cb…c099backed Yes38c148.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c145$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…eee0backed Yes37c144.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c143.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes37c140.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4512538.4%48 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes37c130.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9211250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a4f…2346backed Yes38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.543171%22 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7580…1bf2backed Yes38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.543873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes37c124.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c120.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.362452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb1…db9bbacked Yes38c119.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes77c118.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.085276.9%40 W · 12 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+72%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa597…cfa9backed Yes38c117.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed No42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.266253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed No15c113.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0110728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No64c110.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1521450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes36c100.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.015131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes36c98.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.255651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No64c97.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6213555.6%75 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No63c84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.926056.7%34 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.