Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c5b043f753b6613e6fc98c385b8ec658389241412ab5d3d979e120ddc6a76a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 38c | 10,901$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 6,002$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.88 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 5,969$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.25 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,088$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 4c | 3,433$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 3,392$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 63c | 3,104$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.53 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 38c | 2,596$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 2,243$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.39 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 63c | 1,978$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.69 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 14c | 1,748$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 1,508$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.29 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,481$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 63c | 966.36$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 921.91$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.23 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 898.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 874.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 670.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 37c | 541$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 540.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 63c | 502.89$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 502.89$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 63c | 502.89$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 502.67$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.12 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 63c | 492.16$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 63c | 444.32$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 63c | 430.42$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 62c | 413.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.03 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 40c | 399.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 63c | 388.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 70c | 339.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 63c | 311.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 31c | 300.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 41c | 235.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 233.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 62c | 147.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 145.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 120.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 63c | 116.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 62c | 94.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Yes | 18c | 93.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 38c | 89.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 63c | 78.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed No | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 37c | 73.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed No | 63c | 67.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 38c | 61.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 63c | 58.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes | 36c | 57.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…7e9fbacked No | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 72c | 51.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…bfe8backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…838abacked No | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 63c | 45.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 44.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 63c | 37.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…b806backed Yes | 38c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked No | 63c | 30.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed No | 63c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed No | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…56babacked No | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 63c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 62c | 18.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.