TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa597…cfa9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$78.31
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+52%+$33.55
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.37
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$24.65
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.54
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.4
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.78
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.38
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.77
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.53
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.27
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardybacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$64.73
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donskibacked Philip Henning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.79
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.54
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.5
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$43.83
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Edward Winterbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$5.22
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Birmingham: Rebeka Masarova vs Tereza Martincovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+60.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$33
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$35.89
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.45
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.58
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.42
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$9.44
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.14
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$27.04
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.29
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.48
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$18.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.06
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.35
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.41
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$33.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$34.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.