TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes21c39,501$8,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,343.952850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes21c8,031$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.922951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No79c6,541$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.5982844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes6c5,081$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9223727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes17c4,594$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.233327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Yes20c2,746$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.582060%12 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes4c2,710$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c2,179$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes2c1,500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No80c1,344$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c1,200$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes21c1,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20513419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003925.6%10 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes20c940$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes6c899.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes19c890.42$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No80c860$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes21c726.76$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.028341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c520.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.912,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes9c518.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6621322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c491.17$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ec…2a53backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x748d…26e2backed No80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f51…43debacked Yes3c360$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes16c337.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5711331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c323$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c316$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.689561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes22c264.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes20c245$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c239.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes7c212.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Yes16c177.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.071250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes8c176.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes20c176.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c172.3$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes21c157.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319037.9%72 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf255…3561backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No79c148.37$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8626154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154431.8%14 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb94e…f954backed Yes13c131.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No80c128$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.64852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea03…2df3backed Yes13c124.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No80c115.19$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5117960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c115$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2263553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes19c111$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.093333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Yes21c105.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa6…9361backed Yes20c103$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No80c100.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3445250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc41…ac6dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206526.2%17 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418d…9c2dbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Yes21c98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Yes21c94.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes24c79.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.096717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No79c72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3624048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…5d02backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155347.2%25 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159950.5%50 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x303e…96ffbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Yes20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd741…0079backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes20c59.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.027157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bf1…fa85backed Yes21c57.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7961…355dbacked Yes21c51.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x547c…610abacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa597…cfa9backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010937.6%41 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No80c39.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0211366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No79c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9810062%62 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No79c37.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed No80c29.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.834367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked No80c28.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.712470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed No79c26.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.494845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No80c26.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.275455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No78c23.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.093268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No79c21.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7123455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa434…e508backed No79c20.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa303…2991backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7828558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c17.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No80c17.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5722456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No80c17.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5723456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.