La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d9999fe13ce0286b418a4075f2c3b6dbbfe6b877768e9c5c1bc1e39b1cd963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 28,639$21,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.8 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 9,429$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.57 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 26c | 7,760$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 14c | 4,504$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 4,042$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.09 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 18c | 3,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 2,072$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.26 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 1,665$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.16 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,011$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 24c | 924.04$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 8c | 800$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 581.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 524.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45f…2c9cbacked Yes | 25c | 326.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 314.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 273.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…e090backed Yes | 9c | 258.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…ee29backed No | 76c | 256.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 6c | 251.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 5c | 223$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 15c | 219.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 211.31$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 16c | 179.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 157$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 8c | 146.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 123.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 24c | 120.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 177 | 59.3%105 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 14c | 87.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 76c | 83.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 27c | 73.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 25c | 72.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 65.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 63.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…eb65backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 76c | 53.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 21c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…f433backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580a…a236backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 76c | 39.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 76c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 29.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked No | 76c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 75c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.