TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$463,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$474,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes56c148,842$83,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,708.3610450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c64,768$25,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,475.684,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c48,310$21,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,281.231,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No43c32,100$13,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,848.975754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c31,022$17,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,353.8519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed No44c24,998$10,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,998.9240%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Yes57c24,998$14,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,748.954100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes55c17,650$9,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,995.727656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c16,503$7,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,177.821,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes56c15,825$8,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,036.7514250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No41c13,200$5,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3603033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c12,231$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,396.6350249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6e…18ecbacked No44c12,061$5,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No45c10,714$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.6180%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7006468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No10c9,210$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.411,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No44c7,147$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.568940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c7,026$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.973,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c6,303$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.572,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1503548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No15c4,966$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.7813744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Yes55c4,300$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9382962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No8c4,231$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.582844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72040033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No19c3,333$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.177653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.585453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c2,593$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.8649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c2,562$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.3668050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-74.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No43c2,222$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.4616740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No34c2,216$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.826931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c2,179$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.2263757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No18c2,103$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No15c1,904$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes75c1,819$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3619662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4930…32ebbacked Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ac…ef96backed No46c1,587$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.996546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c1,460$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.3248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c1,377$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No14c1,344$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed No44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No6c1,104$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4111331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No43c1,035$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No45c1,020$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45911333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes54c1,013$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.5818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.861656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes55c887.37$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.371827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No44c886.63$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1227257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c871.17$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No44c869.95$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38515446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No44c810.78$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No44c809.18$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No44c798.36$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7323456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No44c785$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4722446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c729.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.275446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked No44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No44c681.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No45c666.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed No45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked No29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No44c600$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26121355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No44c597.38$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.857560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No44c551.63$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7231952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No44c549.96$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9845250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No44c517.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No44c517.09$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.522638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No44c511.2$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9215655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec78…b412backed Yes57c508.77$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.771060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Yes55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+136%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.554557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked No22c452.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No45c449.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9923957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No45c444.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.942352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.61478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No10c437.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes54c427.15$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8510634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No44c423.37$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.336937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb267…d710backed No9c419.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes57c419.86$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.448075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed No44c408$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No44c404.55$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No44c400$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3317159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No27c399.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3983…4550backed Yes69c392.65$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes54c369.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1948934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked No5c368.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.535738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1413426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes55c357$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.653938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.