WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b567eee660fdb408be64cefa1c7b08ee1adb3b1c5eb7ed676f584a9bbba12ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 53c | 15,677$8,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,426 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 15,419$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,406.18 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 52c | 14,002$7,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.96 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.18 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 4,264$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 3,989$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 53c | 2,500$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,213$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.38 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…d339backed Under | 4c | 1,348$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 1,267$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.49 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 769.37$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 56c | 699.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 48c | 567.88$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 48c | 510.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 368.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 225.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 196.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 196.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 126.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 42c | 123.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 92.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 49c | 81.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…cfa9backed Over | 54c | 73.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 66.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 43.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…8229backed Over | 53c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 52c | 36.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 48c | 35.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 48c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 42c | 28.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5this page
- Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.