WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483c3466c79833214f0b7c27a95f4e0aa147f60c912af1d14ff79eed71289e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 54c | 18,082$9,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,341.13 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 6,488$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.51 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 4,937$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.01 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 47c | 3,688$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.68 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 2,895$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.18 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 54c | 2,702$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.4 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 1,713$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.28 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 19c | 762.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 57c | 734$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 56c | 657.34$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…06b5backed Over | 50c | 576.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 536.05$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 45c | 501.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 383.34$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 374.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 357$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 46c | 313.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 284$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 264$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 61c | 228.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 79c | 188.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 15c | 150.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 103.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 59c | 101.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 55c | 84.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 50c | 72.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 27c | 67.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 59.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Under | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 27c | 54.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 45c | 48.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Over | 55c | 47.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 44.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 65c | 40.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 40.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 45c | 37.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 36.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 58c | 34.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 29.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 55c | 27.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…8229backed Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 21.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5this page
- Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.