TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof Seattle Storm, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb915…8da5backed Seattle Storm43c41,022$17,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,564.666848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky58c22,508$13,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,377.5478548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago Sky59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1008159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Seattle Storm42c8,693$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.062245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Chicago Sky58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.6914353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago Sky80c8,105$6,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.8536750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky60c8,103$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,208.5327449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky57c7,910$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.3440550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm42c7,862$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.0523245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky57c7,810$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.0989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Storm41c6,539$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.856735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Seattle Storm43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58010338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm11c5,284$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.2274942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm11c4,889$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.8199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Seattle Storm2c4,217$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.499036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Sky59c3,657$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.219458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Chicago Sky57c3,413$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.54967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Seattle Storm3c3,214$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.248228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Chicago Sky58c3,065$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.4714060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky57c2,897$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.5783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Seattle Storm4c2,810$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.565020%10 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Seattle Storm42c2,777$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.141631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Seattle Storm42c2,396$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.374766%31 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Storm18c2,179$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8650952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Seattle Storm10c2,005$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Seattle Storm40c1,667$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6706956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm26c1,656$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.1719428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Seattle Storm2c1,349$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.262524%6 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Sky58c1,320$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1441145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Seattle Storm42c1,178$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Seattle Storm43c1,168$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Chicago Sky57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Seattle Storm44c999$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.238733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Seattle Storm15c993.86$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa254…244dbacked Chicago Sky57c992.44$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e39…d90fbacked Seattle Storm14c968.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Sky76c926.3$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9530347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Seattle Storm17c899.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503020%6 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Sky58c862$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.043847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Seattle Storm19c839.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.888837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Seattle Storm30c769$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Chicago Sky79c701.11$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1813844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d0…5fc2backed Chicago Sky64c684.59$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.452040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky75c669.88$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.991,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e8…ebb7backed Seattle Storm29c664.03$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Sky61c650.7$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.723049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e1f…da75backed Seattle Storm20c645.31$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Seattle Storm38c631.28$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2911351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Seattle Storm32c610$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1515250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Chicago Sky58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2523043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Chicago Sky79c585$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.54746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Seattle Storm34c581.34$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4612234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Seattle Storm36c579.58$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.727150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Storm2c571.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe342…b692backed Seattle Storm43c570$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.12263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Sky58c546$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0413147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Seattle Storm37c532.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.062934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky77c526.89$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Seattle Storm42c515.39$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Sky57c503$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9516450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Sky71c457.96$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2917656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Chicago Sky54c411.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5122446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Chicago Sky56c398.18$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.29140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Seattle Storm44c386.55$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.082433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Sky57c385$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5512751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Seattle Storm14c367.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4512840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Seattle Storm42c358$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Seattle Storm43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Chicago Sky58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1478657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Seattle Storm45c326.64$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Seattle Storm37c323$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.061747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Chicago Sky57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1299255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0532750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Seattle Storm30c299.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.997643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky74c265.08$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Seattle Storm13c264.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.341464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Seattle Storm18c259.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+87.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky56c256$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dba…5e2bbacked Seattle Storm36c250.07$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.97742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky67c236.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Storm43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Seattle Storm43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2f…318bbacked Seattle Storm28c231.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Seattle Storm44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf76d…4052backed Chicago Sky57c219.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.32272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Seattle Storm42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Seattle Storm27c194.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2310538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Seattle Storm18c194$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.924153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Chicago Sky68c183.17$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.247368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Chicago Sky73c179.89$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.212272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Seattle Storm28c177.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-74.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Chicago Sky59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky58c153.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.671245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3801…7013backed Seattle Storm29c137.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Chicago Sky75c131.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.852653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm32c124.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.471,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky79c119.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.538744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0f…6906backed Seattle Storm43c116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Seattle Storm43c116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.886145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Storm35c112.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5118746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.