TailMyPicks
Market

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb915…8da5backed Seattle Storm53c81,576$43,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,407.686848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky52c25,285$13,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,216.6279648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Sky47c20,655$9,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,993.8634826.4%92 W · 256 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky47c9,798$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.8190449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Chicago Sky48c8,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2005858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Sky47c7,500$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.55759.6%34 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky46c6,022$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.7231443%135 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Seattle Storm54c5,807$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11510463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Chicago Sky47c4,582$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.3110445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Chicago Sky49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.829157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Seattle Storm50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky49c3,330$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.4885948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Chicago Sky46c3,238$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.7222446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Sky46c3,043$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.6747246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Seattle Storm47c3,000$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42311250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky48c2,571$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.321,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky70c2,424$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.321,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky49c2,178$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.6441051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Seattle Storm51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago Sky48c1,436$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.4641446.6%193 W · 221 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Seattle Storm23c1,198$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.582934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Storm28c1,151$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8251552.6%271 W · 244 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Chicago Sky46c1,125$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm24c905.06$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1751147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Seattle Storm4c814.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4570%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Sky48c793$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.3612850.8%65 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky47c768$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.693248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…cd3cbacked Seattle Storm25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Sky47c522.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.824847.6%118 W · 130 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Chicago Sky46c510.87$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.876845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky46c503.2$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5334448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago Sky71c465.83$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9436950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Seattle Storm51c387.41$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Sky66c332.39$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5926147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm47c315.62$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.538744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Seattle Storm36c299.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky50c285.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8565751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Chicago Sky59c282.71$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Seattle Storm53c280$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Seattle Storm54c276.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Chicago Sky67c264.96$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.694946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Seattle Storm23c261.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608860.2%53 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Chicago Sky66c222.27$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.085149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked Seattle Storm41c209.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.593033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Seattle Storm51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Sky48c188.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.942046.7%196 W · 224 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky49c145.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0333248.8%162 W · 170 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Sky58c131.63$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6535254.3%191 W · 161 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Seattle Storm27c130$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.14153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm50c128.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3933347.7%159 W · 174 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Sky46c127$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8932749.5%162 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Chicago Sky46c114.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7717143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…2081backed Seattle Storm48c104.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Seattle Storm48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Sky49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0432849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Chicago Sky46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418441.8%77 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Chicago Sky46c98.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.275062%31 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Seattle Storm52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Seattle Storm52c94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.886145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.728758.5%168 W · 119 L+20.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Seattle Storm45c84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.825447.2%120 W · 134 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Chicago Sky66c80.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3611351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Seattle Storm46c78.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0422440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Chicago Sky78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921758.8%10 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Seattle Storm55c76.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.915938.4%61 W · 98 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Sky69c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.637054.1%200 W · 170 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Seattle Storm49c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3812355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccf…ef8abacked Seattle Storm48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354763.8%30 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Chicago Sky69c69.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.527150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Chicago Sky47c69.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.824932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm24c64.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2330347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Chicago Sky64c58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.921275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Seattle Storm29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.664252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Chicago Sky46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279851%50 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Seattle Storm24c48.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59641.6%1 W · 63 L-26.1wins-0.41per pick42cpaid-97.6%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Seattle Storm30c46.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Seattle Storm25c46.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5419245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Chicago Sky73c44.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8624656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Seattle Storm23c43.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Seattle Storm28c39.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.827360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Sky70c36.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.837650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8585158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Sky61c32.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7226247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Chicago Sky46c32.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Chicago Sky51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.715748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…b515backed Chicago Sky46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky49c27.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2376142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky50c25.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ea…9526backed Seattle Storm40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Chicago Sky47c22.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6814445.1%65 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Sky58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5610858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Sky76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.615337.9%58 W · 95 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.