WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94d5fd7c0ef5877af8229e9627d3b97f6b22cb057daa5b4fa1c31e2a50839e41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 10,750$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.64 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 9,498$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.64 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 3,931$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.18 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 3,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 3,078$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.81 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 2,983$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.41 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 2,784$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.84 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 2,439$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.7 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 2,091$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 2,009$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.27 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 1,131$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.57 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 1,078$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 757.06$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.53 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 512$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 471.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 160.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 148.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 133.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 127.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 127.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 111.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 109.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 69.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 69.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…58e9backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 69.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 59.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 58.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 52.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 46.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 44.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 36.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 32.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)this page
- Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.