WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e9be0d5c15e5e772c1e50de40347d347848b2e9258ce8f4085be65474c26d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 794.65$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 49c | 732.96$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.81 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 731$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.81 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 54c | 616.13$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.13 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 473.74$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 434$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 341.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 332.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 74c | 268$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Under | 26c | 268$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 263.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 218.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 204.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Under | 30c | 168.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 50c | 140.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 48c | 133.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…ae5fbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 93.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Under | 49c | 76.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 54.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 41.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 36.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5this page
- Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.