Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a14e75dce7cba9978f5ddf1a945343e4dd8e438d0919f98ae847580ef9bd5f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed No | 58c | 16,899$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 15,220$8,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385.94 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 45c | 11,891$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,543.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 42c | 11,835$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.51 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes | 45c | 11,789$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 56c | 11,658$6,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.12 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 55c | 11,004$6,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.59 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 53c | 9,433$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked No | 49c | 4,773$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +274.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 4,696$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.38 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 4,266$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.81 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 3,853$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.73 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 2,971$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.04 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 49c | 2,947$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 2,792$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 49c | 2,785$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 55c | 2,709$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.75 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 49c | 2,657$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Yes | 55c | 2,223$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 2,040$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.66 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 49c | 2,023$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.13 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Yes | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed No | 44c | 1,639$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Yes | 56c | 1,485$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 26c | 1,472$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.59 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…a18bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,434$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 55c | 1,416$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.52 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 51c | 1,406$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.42 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 51c | 1,406$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.42 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 39c | 1,337$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 840.68$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 38c | 815.79$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 56c | 813.81$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 52c | 810$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 45c | 756.41$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked No | 61c | 732.77$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 49c | 722.55$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 717.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 49c | 697.82$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.89 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1a…dfcfbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 50c | 666$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 45c | 586.37$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 34c | 584.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 43c | 582.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 54c | 564.41$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…c8b6backed Yes | 21c | 480.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 21c | 479.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…5116backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 43c | 460$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 52c | 459.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 458.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 458.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 53c | 454$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 453.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 43c | 436.49$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 39c | 432.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 43c | 426$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 45c | 419.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 57c | 417.23$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 43c | 415$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 44c | 399.87$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 47c | 399.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 39c | 398.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 392.09$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 46c | 389.33$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 52c | 384.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Yes | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 55c | 366.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 30c | 364.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 358.56$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…9685backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 39c | 340.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 336.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.