Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988ae93e1677d32aaa68890d487721114a6eb91d5c39940304014e8cee8ae03b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 69c | 35,926$24,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,924.24 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 28,000$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,039.97 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 68c | 15,625$10,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.02 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 15,409$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,683.87 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 9,438$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.1 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 7,414$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.56 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 6,899$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.65 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed No | 66c | 6,200$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 5,902$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.08 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 5,311$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.39 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 29c | 5,002$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.83 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 68c | 4,074$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 64c | 3,863$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.53 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,748$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.34 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 2,683$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 2,480$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.77 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,294$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.27 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 2,169$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 32c | 2,113$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 2,105$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.21 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 2,009$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 1,800$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 27c | 1,588$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.14 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 1,560$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.18 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 1,194$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.63 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 1,119$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.35 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 1,067$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.34 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 38c | 1,064$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Yes | 74c | 1,030$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 31c | 1,004$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.05 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked No | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 68c | 749.54$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 640.27$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 66c | 594.38$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.71 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 10c | 527.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 525.85$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 417.81$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 30c | 405.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 16c | 398.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…3705backed No | 24c | 394$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 30c | 379.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 44c | 378.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 48c | 321.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 33c | 304.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 68c | 294.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 287.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…d0aabacked Yes | 56c | 276.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 39c | 238.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 41c | 226.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 216.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.82 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 72c | 207.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 69c | 199.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 25c | 161.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 56c | 160.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 62c | 159.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 149.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 141.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 126.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 120.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 108.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 64c | 107$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 30c | 106.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 43c | 102.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 102.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 42c | 101.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 18c | 96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 17c | 96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 63c | 83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 58c | 81.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 61c | 81.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…8a6ebacked Yes | 67c | 81.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 38c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed No | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed No | 69c | 72.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 76c | 70.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…332bbacked Yes | 70c | 69.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 30c | 67.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.