Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc537c0b57d987eb519237e4ff2564e54a229dbfa898ea6dbc46aeae0e0a2d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 75c | 7,777$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 27c | 7,409$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 6,570$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.82 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 5,340$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.24 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 4,026$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.27 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 3,203$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 2,746$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 2,675$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.81 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 2,571$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 77c | 2,197$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.47 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 1,904$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.1 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 25c | 1,122$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.48 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 16c | 1,100$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed No | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 795.15$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 710.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 25c | 704.33$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 25c | 656.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 651.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 80c | 623.3$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 601.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes | 22c | 598$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked No | 68c | 568.81$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 25c | 535$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked No | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 29c | 442.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 26c | 420$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…4172backed Yes | 31c | 391.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 11c | 363.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed No | 77c | 310.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 302.01$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 11c | 299.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 74c | 297.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Yes | 28c | 240.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 20c | 238.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 79c | 226.08$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 35c | 220.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 25c | 219.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 210.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6927…21adbacked No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 27c | 178.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 77c | 175.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 21c | 153$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 25c | 151.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 150.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 76c | 147.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 8c | 131.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 77c | 130.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…d577backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 116.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 21c | 114.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 75c | 111.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 26c | 98.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked No | 78c | 89.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 80c | 80.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 78.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 25c | 78.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 25c | 70.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 79c | 63.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 61.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 25c | 60.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…7913backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes | 20c | 58.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…dcc3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 24c | 47.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 80c | 39.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 74c | 38.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…f1f6backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.